Hearses queue at Beijing crematorium

Dozens of hearses queued outside a Beijing crematorium on Wednesday, even as China reported no new Covid-19 deaths in its growing outbreak, sparking criticism of its virus accounting as the capital braces for a surge of cases.

Following widespread protests, the country of 1.4 billion people this month began dismantling its unpopular "zero-Covid" regime of lockdowns and testing that had largely kept the virus under control for three years though at a great economic and psychological cost.

The abrupt change of policy has caught a fragile health system unprepared and hospitals are scrambling for beds and blood, pharmacies for drugs, and authorities are racing to build special clinics. Experts predict China could face more than a million Covid-19 deaths next year.

At a crematorium in Beijing's Tongzhou district, a Reuters witness saw a queue of about 40 hearses waiting to enter while the parking lot was full.

Inside, family and friends, many wearing traditional white clothing and headbands of mourning, gathered around about 20 coffins awaiting cremation. Staff wore hazmat suits and smoke rose from five of the 15 furnaces.

There was a heavy police presence outside the crematorium.

Reuters could not verify whether the deaths were caused by Covid-19.

Some Beijing residents have to wait for days to cremate relatives or pay steep fees to secure faster service, funeral home workers said.

A worker at one Beijing funeral parlour posted on social media an offer of "speedy arrangement of hearses, no queue for cremation" for a fee of 26,000 yuan (US$3,730).

Reuters could not verify the offer.

No new fatalities

China uses a narrow definition of Covid-19 deaths and reported no new fatalities for Tuesday, even crossing one of its overall tally since the pandemic began, now at 5,241 - a fraction of the tolls of many much less populous countries.

The National Health Commission said on Tuesday only deaths caused by pneumonia and respiratory failure in patients who had the virus are classified as Covid-19 deaths.

Benjamin Mazer, an assistant professor of pathology at Johns Hopkins University, said that classification would miss "a lot of cases", especially as people who are vaccinated, including those with Chinese shots, are less likely to die of pneumonia.

Blood clots, heart problems and sepsis - an extreme body response to infection - have caused countless deaths among Covid-19 patients around the world.

"It doesn't make sense to apply this sort of March 2020 mindset where it's only Covid-19 pneumonia that can kill you," Mazer said.

"There are all sorts of medical complications."

'Act quickly'

The death toll might rise sharply in the near future, with the state-run Global Times newspaper citing a Chinese respiratory expert predicting a spike in severe cases in Beijing over the coming weeks.

"We must act quickly and prepare fever clinics, emergency and severe treatment resources," Wang Guangfa, a respiratory specialist from Peking University First Hospital, told the newspaper.

Wang expected the Covid-19 wave to peak in late January, with life likely to return to normal by late February or early March.

The NHC also played down international concern about the possibility of virus mutations, saying the likelihood of new strains that are more pathogenic was low.

Paul Tambyah, President of the Asia Pacific Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infection, supported that view.

"I do not think that this is a threat to the world," he said. "The chances are that the virus will behave like every other human virus and adapt to the environment in which it circulates by becoming more transmissible and less virulent."

Several prominent scientists and World Health Organization advisers told Reuters a potentially devastating wave to come in China means it may be too early to declare the end of the global pandemic emergency.

Sick workers

Some US and European officials have offered to help mitigate a crisis they fear will hurt the global economy and disrupt supply chains.

From the epicentre in northern China, infections are spreading to manufacturing belts, including the Yangtze River Delta, near Shanghai, disrupting workforces.

Retail and financial service businesses have been hard hit by staff shortages, with factories not far behind, industry bodies say.

Staff at Communist Party and government institutions or enterprises in the southwestern city of Chongqing who have mild Covid-19 symptoms can go to work if they wear a mask, state-run China Daily reported.

Other media reported similar decisions in other cities.

China is still largely cut off from the outside world with Covid-10 restrictions on international travel but there are signs those rules are easing too.

Chelsea Xiang, 35, said she only needed to do two days of quarantine in the southwestern city of Chengdu after returning from Hong Kong on Sunday, rather than the minimum five officially required.

"I feel I have my human rights again," Xiang said.

- Reuters