Southeast Asia may gain most from China's travel revival

Southeast Asia's tourist economies are set to be leading beneficiaries of China's scrapping of travel bans as they have steered clear of the Covid-19 tests before entry that Europe, Japan and the United States have imposed on Chinese visitors.

Even as the virus tears through its 1.4 billion people, the world's second-largest economy is opening its borders from Sunday, a move that promises to unleash a wave of travellers eager for diversion after three years of strict curbs at home.

Such newly mobile Chinese tourists will opt for "minimal hassle" and head for destinations that do not demand testing, which in turn stands to benefit Southeast Asia, said CIMB economist Song Seng Wun.

"The busier regional airports are, the better it is for their economies," he added.

While Australia, Britain, India, Japan and the United States are among the nations that require a negative Covid-19 test from inbound Chinese, Southeast Asian countries, from Cambodia to Indonesia and Singapore, have all declined such requirements.

Except for airplane wastewater testing by Malaysia and Thailand for the virus, the region's 11 nations will treat Chinese travellers like any others.

"We are not taking the stance of discriminating (against) any countries," said Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim.

Interest in the region waxed high even before news of its lack of test requirements.

As many as 76 percent of Chinese travel agencies ranked Southeast Asia as the top destination when outbound travel resumed, according to a survey released in December by trade show ITB China.

Welcome back

The region is home to many tourism-reliant economies in which Chinese used to make up the bulk of visitors to beach paradises, luxury malls and casinos that have all been hit hard by their absence in the last few years.

Now, their tourism industries are gearing up to welcome Chinese travellers back.

In 2019, 155 million Chinese travelled abroad, spending US$254.6 billion (about RM1.1 trillion), or close to the GDP of Vietnam, said Citi, whose researchers expect "meaningful recovery" in mass tourism to start in the second quarter of 2023.

In Vietnam, almost a third of the 18 million foreign arrivals in 2019 were from China, while about a fifth of Singapore's international arrivals were Chinese who spent S$900 million (about RM2.9 billion).

Thailand already expects to welcome 5 million Chinese travellers this year, or about half of the 10.99 million of 2019. Neighbouring Malaysia projects 1.5 million to 2 million Chinese tourists this year versus 3 million before the pandemic.

And the Malaysian Association of Tour and Travel Agents is preparing for a roadshow in Chinese cities to woo visitors, said its vice-president, Ganeesh Rama.

Few health worries

Officials have downplayed health worries aired by other countries, such as the United States' concern over insufficient information and fear that more cases in China could spawn new variants of the virus.

Singapore said it had high population immunity, as about 40 percent of its people had been infected with coronavirus and 83 percent had been vaccinated, while it has bolstered healthcare capacity.

Karen Grépin, a public health professor at Hong Kong University, agreed with that approach, adding, "Everyday, countries import thousands of cases of Covid-19 from around the world."

In Bali, Ida Bagus Agung Parta, the chair of the resort island's tourism board, said it would "increase our defence", as workers take a second booster dose of vaccine this month.

Cambodia's Prime Minister Hun Sen, an ally of Beijing, described other countries' testing requirements as "propaganda" designed to "scare people".

"Whatever other country wants to do anything, it's their right," Hun Sen said in a recent speech. "But for Cambodia, it’s an invitation to Chinese people: Chinese tourists, come to Cambodia."

- Reuters